Rally takes a pause, job picture improving?

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Rally takes a pause, job picture improving?


A view of the fearless girl wearing a mask in front of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City USA during coronavirus pandemic on April 25, 2020.

John Nacion | NurPhoto | Getty Images

This is a live blog. Please check back for updates. 

10:51 am: S&P 500 rally could be biggest bear market bounce ever

The S&P 500 has rallied more than 36% from its late-March closing low. This makes it the biggest “bear market bounce ever,” LPL Financial’s Ryan Detrick pointed out in a tweet Thursday. That bounce surpassed the index’s surge from the March 2009 low. Back then, the S&P 500 rallied 27.4% from the financial crisis lows. A surge of this magnitude, Detrick says, “opens the question, is this not just a bear market bounce?” —Imbert

10:45 am: Cramer says reopening trade may have gone too far

Jim Cramer said on “Squawk on the Street” that he was “afraid to go all in on this reopen trade since it’s already had a pretty big run. “One thing that may weigh on the large tech stocks and keep the trend going is the potential for regulation, he said.”It’s already maybe too far, too fast. It’s very hard to figure, particular because FANG is being distorted by the president’s tweets, Facebook being lumped in with Twitter,” Cramer said. —Pound 

10:41 am: Retailers voice optimism as economies begin to reopen

Retailers are coming off a painful quarter as the pandemic shuttered stores worldwide, but looking forward company execs are optimistic that the second quarter will tell a different story. “We have been pleased with the traffic levels and sales that we have seen so far. There is clearly pent-up demand,” Burlington Stores CEO Michael O’Sullivan said. The company missed top and bottom line estimates for the first quarter, but said that 332 stores have now reopened with the remainder expected to open by the middle of June.

Meanwhile Abercrombie & Fitch CEO Fran Horowitz said that with stores reopening the company has “experienced sales productivity for reopened stores of approximately 80%…as compared to last year’s levels,” while Dollar Tree CEO Gary Philbin said he’s “extremely pleased with the momentum we are seeing in our business early in the second quarter.” That said, many retailers have stopped short of giving full-year guidance due to continued uncertainty surrounding the pandemic. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was down about half a percent on Thursday, but it has gained 13% this month. – Hum, Stevens

10:16 am: White House won’t release economic projections this summer, report says

White House officials have decided to not release updated economic projections this summer due to what’s expected to be a historic growth pullback induced by the Covid-19 outbreak, The Washington Post reported Thursday. The Post, which cited two anonymous administration officials, said the White House made its decision based on the unprecedented volatility the coronavirus has introduced, making it tricky to model economic trends.The White House has for decades released a federal budget proposal each February and follows up with a mid-summer review with refreshed estimates and commentary on economic trends like inflation, GDP growth and joblessness. — Franck 

9:42 am: Rally loses steam, major averages are flat

Minutes into the opening bell, the 30-stock Dow quickly erased its early gains of more than 100 points and dipped into negative territory briefly. It last traded up 25 points. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were also fluctuating around the flat line.—Li 

9:44 am: Oil prices move off the lows ahead of inventory data

Oil prices recovered early losses on Thursday – even briefly trading in positive territory – ahead of inventory data at 11:00 am ET. West Texas Interemdiate fell 15 cents, or 0.46%, to trade at $32.66 per barrel, while international benchmark Brent crude dipped 7 cents to $34.67. Earlier in the session WTI had been down more than 5%. WTI is on track for its best month ever, but growing geopolitical tensions have pressured prices in recent sessions. On Wednesday the contract settled more than 4% lower for its second day of losses in three sessions. – Stevens

9:31 am: Dow jumps 100 points at the open

The market built on its strong rally this week as investors continue to bet on an economic recovery from the pandemic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 100 points at the open, and is on pace for a third straight day of gains. The S&P 500 climbed 0.3%, after closing above the 3,000 threshold and its 200-day moving average on Wednesday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite underperformed, trading 0.1% lower at the open. –-Li 

9:18 am: Dollar Tree surges on strong earnings 

Shares of discount retailer Dollar Tree jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading on Thursday following its blowout earnings thanks to a change on consumer behavior spurred by the covid-19 pandemic. Dollar Tree reported earnings per share of $1.04 on revenue of $6.29 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet were expected earnings of 85 cents per share on revenue of $6.14 billion. Same-store sales soared 7%, compared to the estimate of 4.4%. Family Dollar same-store sales jumped 15.5%, compared to the 8.1% forecast. “After a relatively normal first month in the quarter, our stores experienced an unprecedented spike in demand for certain products in March,” Dollar Tree CEO Gary Philbin said in a release. — Fitzgerald

8:55 am: U.S. GDP contracted 5% in the first quarter

The U.S economy shrank 5% in the first quarter, versus a preliminary reading of a 4.8% decline, according to a revision from the Commerce Department. The coronavirus pandemic caused deep damage on the U.S. economy, dragging down consumer spending, exports and inventories. This also marked the first negative GDP reading since in the first quarter of 2014. —Li

8:35 am: Jobless claims top two million last week

Another 2.123 million Americans filed first-time jobless claims last week, the Labor Department said on Thursday. 
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting 2.05 million new filings. Since the pandemic was declared in mid-March, more than 40 million have filed claims. However, pace of new claims continues to decline. Continuing claims, or those who have been collecting for at least two weeks, fell 3.86 million from the previous week to 21.05 million. This number offers a clearer picture of how many workers are still sidelined.– Li, Cox

8:22 am: Large Wall Street speculators aren’t buying this market comeback

The S&P 500 has crossed the monumental 3,000 threshold on rising optimism about an economic recovery, but the big money on Wall Street is skeptical of the comeback. In fact, large spectators, hedge funds and big investment firms have pushed their net short positions on the S&P 500 futures to the most aggressive since February 2016, according to Bank of America. “No belief in rally from futures positioning,” Stephen Suttmeier, the bank’s technical analyst, said in a note. “After a 30%+ rally in the SPX from late March, futures positioning data suggest that large speculators, leveraged funds and asset managers do not believe in the US equity market rally.” —Li

7:53 am: Rotation away from stay-at-home names continues

The shift away from stay-at-home stocks and into those that would benefit from a quick economic recovery continued in premarket trading on Thursday. Shares of Netflix and Amazon fell 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively, though trading of the streaming video giant was light. Travel stocks rose, however, with Hilton gaining 1.8% and Carnival climbing 0.9%. —Pound

7:51 am: Apple price target raised at JPMorgan, ‘see stronger outlook on SE launch and other levers’

JPMorgan raised its price target on shares of Apple to $365 from $350 based on strength in the tech giant’s iPhone division. The firm’s new target is about 18% above where the stock currently trades. “The recent launch of the iPhone SE, with a strong value positioning, is set to expand Apple’s addressable opportunity in emerging markets, particularly in markets like India,” JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee said Thursday in a note to clients. The firm said the new phone can “change the landscape” in emerging markets, and that the “manufacturing and retail footprint [will] drive synergies with a better positioned portfolio.” Shares of Apple have gained 8% this year. —Stevens

7:50 am: Twitter shares slide ahead of expected Trump executive order signing

Twitter shares dropped more than 3% in the premarket as President Donald Trump is expected to sign an executive order targeting political bias at social media platforms. The order would require the FCC to clarify regulations under a law that largely exempts online platforms from legal liability for users’ posts. The signing would come after Twitter fact-checked some of Trump’s tweets. —Imbert

7:41 am: S&P 500 closes above key level for the first time since March

The S&P 500 closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since March 4 on Wednesday, which means the index could be poised for more gains ahead. A moving average is a technical indicator used to determine momentum, and the level the S&P had to surpass was 3,000. During Wednesday’s session the benchmark index jumped 44 points to close at 3,036. The S&P had traded above the key level during Tuesday’s session, but wasn’t able to hold it and pared gains into the close. The index is now 38.5% above its recent low on March 23. —Stevens

7:30 am: Jobless claims last week could top two million

Another 2.05 million Americans probably filed first-time claims last week for unemployment insurance, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. That would mark a continued decline in the pace since the number topped out at 6.9 million in late March. Nearly 40 million workers have filed for claims since the coronavirus pandemic began. Continuing claims have numbered around 25 million, probably a more accurate representation of the actual unemployment level. – Cox

7:27 am: Dow futures rise 100 points as Wall Street tries to build on strong weekly gains

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures indicated a solid start for the 30-stock average on Thursday as investors try to add to their strong gains for the week. Dow futures traded 160 points higher, or 0.6%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%. The Dow was coming off of back-to-back rallies that put it up 4.4% week to date and above 25.000 for the first time since March. Investors have been rotating this week into stocks that have more upside as the economy reopens while shifting away from “stay-at-home” names such as Netflix and Zoom Video. To be sure, Thursday’s gains were kept in check after China lawmakers approved a national security bill for Hong Kong. The bill will bypass Hong Kong’s legislature, raising concerns over the longevity of Hong Kong’s “one party, two systems” principle. —Imbert

—With reporting from Thomas Franck, Maggie Fitzgerald, Jesse Pound, Robert Hum and Jeff Cox.

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